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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida-0.88+2.29vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.79+1.17vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.53-1.22vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.39-0.88vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.81-2.75vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.24-1.70vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Florida-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.17Rollins College-0.790.2%1st Place
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2.78Rollins College-0.530.3%1st Place
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4.12Embry-Riddle University-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.25Rollins College-0.810.2%1st Place
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5.3Embry-Riddle University-2.240.0%1st Place
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6.09Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Distel | 19.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| William Ciniski | 19.5% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kunz | 26.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Chidester | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 7.1% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 18.1% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Justin Folan | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 34.4% | 25.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.