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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Florida-0.88+1.26vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.81+0.19vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.53-1.20vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.79-1.76vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-2.24-0.68vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.39-2.90vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Florida-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.19Rollins College-0.810.2%1st Place
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2.8Rollins College-0.530.2%1st Place
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3.24Rollins College-0.790.2%1st Place
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5.32Embry-Riddle University-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.1Embry-Riddle University-1.390.1%1st Place
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6.08Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Distel | 19.7% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 19.8% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kunz | 24.1% | 24.5% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| William Ciniski | 19.9% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Justin Folan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 35.1% | 25.4% |
| Alexander Chidester | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 18.2% | 6.6% |
| Sergio Carli | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 17.4% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.