← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.30+1.44vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College-0.82+2.52vs Predicted
-
4Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.26+1.19vs Predicted
-
5Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.58-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College-0.91-1.67vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-1.39-1.68vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-0.88-3.59vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-2.24-2.17vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-3.42-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.44Rollins College0.300.4%1st Place
-
4.52Rollins College-0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.19Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.260.1%1st Place
-
3.71Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.580.2%1st Place
-
4.33Rollins College-0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.32Embry-Riddle University-1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Florida-0.880.1%1st Place
-
6.83Embry-Riddle University-2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.24Embry-Riddle University-3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McGeough | 36.5% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Herminio Agront | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Brian Sargent | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% |
| Julian Wright | 15.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Judith Laskowski | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Chidester | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% |
| Marco Distel | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Justin Folan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 34.9% | 18.6% |
| Matthew Skowronek | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 14.0% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.