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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.21-0.49vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.80+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.13vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.11+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.90-4.00vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.14-0.50vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.88-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-0.36vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.50-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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7.81Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.37Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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8.5Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.94Purdue University-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.31Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.4% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.8% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Higgins | 18.3% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 4.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Emily Pytell | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Alex Day | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 53.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.