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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.21+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.90+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.06+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.04-2.20vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.80+0.69vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.88-0.06vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50+0.20vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.14-1.54vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.11-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-2.28-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Illinois1.490.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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7.69Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.94Purdue University-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.2Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.63Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 25.8% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 15.5% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Alex Day | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 15.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 9.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| John Cayen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 20.6% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.