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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.90+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.21-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.51vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56-2.00vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.80+0.04vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.14-0.19vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.50-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-0.21vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.11-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Wisconsin-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.0Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.04Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.81Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.46Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.8Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.6% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 17.9% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 5.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 9.3% |
| Brynna Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 55.7% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.