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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+2.21vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.56+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.21+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.06+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.90-1.62vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.14+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.77vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.80-0.95vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.11-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-0.22vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.50-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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5.08Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Wisconsin-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
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8.68Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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8.05Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.73Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.55Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.0% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 19.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 11.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 4.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 9.1% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 55.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 28.0% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.