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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.90+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.21+0.67vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.06-0.62vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.14+0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-2.28+1.68vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.50-0.56vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.11-2.15vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.80-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.77Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.44Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.85Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.17Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Pytell | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.9% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 19.0% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 11.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 51.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 25.5% | 19.3% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 11.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.