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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.21+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.49+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.51vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.14+1.68vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.56-3.02vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50+0.47vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-0.24vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.11-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Illinois1.490.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Wisconsin-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.68Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.98Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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9.47Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.06Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.78Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Higgins | 16.3% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 25.1% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 17.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 5.4% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 55.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.