Race 9B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Decesar 10.6% 11.0% 10.7% 10.7% 12.8% 12.8% 10.5% 9.5% 6.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Daniel Perkins 18.6% 18.7% 16.1% 13.5% 10.5% 10.4% 5.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 17.6% 14.4% 16.7% 13.5% 11.4% 9.9% 8.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Butcka 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 3.5% 6.0% 8.5% 12.9% 18.1% 21.0% 19.0%
Ben Lamont 5.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.8% 9.1% 9.4% 11.6% 12.6% 12.5% 8.6% 4.7% 1.5%
William Howard 13.9% 11.6% 12.8% 13.0% 14.0% 11.3% 10.1% 6.5% 3.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Hanna Vincent 17.4% 15.7% 13.9% 13.1% 10.5% 11.1% 7.3% 6.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Richard Meisenbach 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 10.1% 14.3% 17.2% 17.9% 9.8%
Martin McDonald 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 8.3% 10.9% 10.1% 12.9% 13.0% 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Sarah Fiske 5.5% 7.6% 6.9% 7.1% 8.6% 11.5% 12.0% 12.7% 13.2% 9.6% 3.6% 1.7%
John Fonte 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.6% 4.6% 7.2% 11.8% 23.2% 41.1%
Colin Henderson 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 4.4% 6.7% 10.8% 17.2% 23.2% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.