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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.83vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+5.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.29vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.58+2.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+6.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+4.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.39-1.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-0.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.74-1.98vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.95+0.12vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.06-5.85vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.43-3.72vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-4.55vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.38-3.73vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Harvard University2.4811.5%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.097.7%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.7%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.589.4%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University1.592.2%1st Place
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4.76Yale University2.4216.1%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.399.2%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.674.9%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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9.02Brown University1.744.5%1st Place
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12.12Boston University0.952.2%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.067.6%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University1.433.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.4%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont0.872.4%1st Place
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13.27Connecticut College0.381.9%1st Place
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16.68University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Balunas | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jed Lory | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 22.9% | 9.8% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.