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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+1.66vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.14+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.21-0.50vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.37+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.90-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.06-1.24vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.11-0.09vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.56-4.30vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.28-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Illinois1.490.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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8.14Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
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8.38Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.91Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.7Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.28Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 25.1% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.9% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Katherine Higgins | 18.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Crannell | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 18.6% |
| Emily Pytell | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Etain McKinney | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 9.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.