← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois1.49+1.91vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.04+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.90+1.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.21-0.52vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.56-0.35vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin-0.06-0.03vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.37+1.28vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-0.80-0.75vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-1.14-0.96vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-1.11-2.09vs Predicted
-
11University of Minnesota-2.28-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91University of Illinois1.490.3%1st Place
-
3.66University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
-
4.09University of Michigan0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.48University of Wisconsin1.210.2%1st Place
-
4.65Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
-
8.28Michigan State University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.25Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.04Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
7.91Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Minnesota-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 25.8% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.7% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Higgins | 18.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Kate Crannell | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 12.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 10.9% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.