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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.99+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.64+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.13+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.30-0.32vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.99+3.50vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.56-1.45vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.53-0.40vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.20-4.29vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.45-0.77vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Wisconsin0.990.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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9.5Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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8.6Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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10.23Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.68Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 21.5% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 16.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 7.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| River Martin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 25.5% | 15.1% |
| Clara Brown | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Fream | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 5.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Devin Shah | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 28.5% | 31.4% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.