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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.64+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.03vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.99-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.30-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.56+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.13-3.06vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.99+0.44vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.53-1.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.45-0.73vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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5.78Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Wisconsin0.990.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Michigan-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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9.44Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.58Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.27Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.69Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Gallagher | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 21.6% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Clara Brown | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Phineas Tait | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| River Martin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 24.0% | 22.8% | 14.5% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 6.1% |
| Devin Shah | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 28.2% | 31.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 24.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.