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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.64+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.99-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.56+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.11+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.13-2.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.53-0.22vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.99-0.38vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.45-0.53vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-3.16-0.38vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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2.91University of Wisconsin0.990.3%1st Place
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4.14University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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7.78Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.62Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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9.47Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.62Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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10.08Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 17.2% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 18.2% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 26.1% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Finnegan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Phineas Tait | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| River Martin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Devin Shah | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 25.4% | 44.5% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.