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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.64+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.30+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.99-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.13-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.56-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.11-0.10vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.99+0.62vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-3.16+1.53vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.53-2.26vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.45-1.40vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Wisconsin0.990.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.62Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.53Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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7.74Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.6Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.08Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 16.7% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 18.4% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 14.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 25.0% | 23.4% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 11.3% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Finnegan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| River Martin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 7.6% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 42.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Devin Shah | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 26.9% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.