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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.99+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.30+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.13+1.38vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.20+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-1.74vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.99+2.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.56-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.11-1.35vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-2.79+0.62vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.53-2.52vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.45-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Wisconsin0.990.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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5.01Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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8.43Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.62Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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7.48Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.08Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 28.4% | 25.3% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 11.4% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 22.0% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Martin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 16.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Finnegan | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 48.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 6.1% |
| Devin Shah | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 28.2% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.