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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.99+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30+0.03vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.53+2.55vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.99+2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.56-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.13-3.88vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.11-2.20vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.45-0.95vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.79-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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2.71University of Wisconsin0.990.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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7.55Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.41Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.05Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.53Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 29.8% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 19.5% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 6.5% |
| River Martin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 16.8% |
| Gordon Fream | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Phineas Tait | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Finnegan | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Devin Shah | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 25.7% | 28.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.