← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.99+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Illinois0.30+1.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.13+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-1.11+2.31vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.99+2.74vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-0.56-0.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame0.64-4.11vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.53-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University-3.16+0.61vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-2.45-1.56vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University-2.79-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5University of Wisconsin0.990.3%1st Place
-
3.55University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
-
3.96University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.31University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.74Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
5.15University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
-
2.89University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
-
6.85Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
9.61Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.44Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.99Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 30.3% | 26.4% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 16.4% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Finnegan | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| River Martin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 7.5% |
| Gordon Fream | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 25.0% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 47.3% |
| Devin Shah | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 14.5% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 24.3% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.