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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.99+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.56+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64-2.02vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.99+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.11-1.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.45+0.46vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.53-2.02vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.79-0.97vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-3.16-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of Wisconsin0.130.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Wisconsin0.990.3%1st Place
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5.22University of Michigan-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Notre Dame0.640.2%1st Place
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7.81Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Minnesota-1.110.1%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University-2.450.0%1st Place
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6.98Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.03Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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9.52Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phineas Tait | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 31.5% | 26.5% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Fream | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 22.6% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Martin | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Ella Finnegan | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Devin Shah | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 28.8% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 23.9% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.