Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Richard Meisenbach 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 7.3% 10.1% 14.3% 17.4% 18.0% 10.1%
Willem Sandberg 16.2% 17.2% 15.8% 13.9% 11.1% 9.3% 7.9% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Perkins 19.9% 16.3% 14.8% 12.4% 13.8% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 11.3% 14.0% 14.3% 12.6% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 6.0% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Eric Decesar 11.5% 10.4% 12.4% 11.9% 11.1% 12.3% 11.3% 8.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Sarah Fiske 5.5% 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.2% 11.0% 15.7% 12.3% 9.8% 4.7% 1.7%
Hanna Vincent 16.9% 15.5% 13.7% 13.3% 12.7% 10.0% 7.9% 6.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Ben Lamont 7.7% 6.3% 6.2% 8.2% 10.4% 10.6% 11.0% 14.7% 10.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1.4%
Martin McDonald 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 9.9% 9.9% 10.9% 13.0% 12.5% 13.1% 8.9% 2.8% 1.2%
John Fonte 0.7% 1.1% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 4.7% 8.9% 13.4% 20.9% 39.8%
Colin Henderson 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 2.9% 5.0% 5.6% 11.1% 17.0% 23.7% 26.1%
Matthew Butcka 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 6.0% 8.0% 12.2% 16.9% 23.4% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.