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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+6.29vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+5.68vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+9.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.37vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.78-0.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48-0.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+2.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.07-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.09-1.13vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.04-2.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.99-0.54vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-7.18vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.49-7.99vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.69-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.7SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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13.41University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.56Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 23.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| John McKenna | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 33.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.