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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.83+6.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+7.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+7.72vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.47vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+0.99vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+1.42vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.69-0.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48-0.20vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.78-2.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-2.86vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.99-0.52vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.04-5.27vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.08-6.33vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.09-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.86Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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7.81George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.27University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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10.73Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 33.6% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.