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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+6.33vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.69+6.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.20vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+3.65vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+6.06vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.65+1.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+0.53vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.04+1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-2.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.08-0.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-2.78vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.48-4.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-7.03vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.07-6.24vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.23Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.83Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.63University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 34.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.