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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.77vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.04+8.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+7.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+3.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.07+4.73vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.69+1.13vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.93-0.93vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.99+2.78vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.21vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.78-6.51vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.27-1.32vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.48-6.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.08-6.22vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.65-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.08Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.79Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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13.68University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 37.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 23.3% |
| Max Anker | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.