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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+6.37vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+5.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+6.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+6.11vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+2.04vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.69+0.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.45vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.04+1.07vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.21vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.48-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.27+0.59vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.07-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.65-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.83-8.44vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.99-2.34vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.04Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.55SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.07Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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13.59University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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14.66University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.64Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| John McKenna | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Max Anker | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 23.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 36.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.