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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.48+7.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+6.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.07+6.57vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.69+3.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+1.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.55vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57-0.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.34vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-2.82vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-5.44vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.04-3.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-3.95vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.65-7.65vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-3.15vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.99-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.06Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.16Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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10.53Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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13.85University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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14.42University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Anker | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Mais | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 25.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.