← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.77vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.93+4.30vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+7.88vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.62vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.07+4.74vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.50+1.88vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.57vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University2.69-0.95vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin2.65-1.46vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.26vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.27+1.99vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston2.48-4.15vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.78-6.52vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.49-6.13vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.57-7.37vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University2.04-6.08vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami0.99-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.77University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
7.3Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.62SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.74Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.88Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.05Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.54University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
-
13.99University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.85College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
-
7.48George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
8.87Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
8.63Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
10.92Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
-
14.39University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 27.1% |
| Max Anker | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.