Race 11B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 18.9% 16.1% 18.4% 12.3% 12.7% 9.2% 6.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 13.2% 13.5% 13.6% 12.4% 11.5% 11.0% 9.9% 7.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 17.1% 16.3% 14.2% 15.8% 10.5% 11.0% 7.6% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Richard Meisenbach 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.3% 11.9% 15.3% 17.5% 14.5% 11.7%
Martin McDonald 5.2% 6.8% 6.5% 8.2% 10.1% 10.3% 11.3% 12.9% 11.4% 9.6% 6.1% 1.6%
Matthew Butcka 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 4.2% 6.3% 7.1% 10.5% 17.6% 23.8% 19.2%
Eric Decesar 11.0% 13.4% 11.0% 12.1% 11.9% 11.4% 9.7% 10.7% 4.8% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Sarah Fiske 7.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 7.2% 11.0% 13.4% 10.7% 13.1% 8.6% 5.0% 2.3%
Colin Henderson 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 3.3% 3.2% 5.3% 7.9% 11.3% 18.5% 21.4% 23.1%
Hanna Vincent 15.6% 16.2% 14.2% 12.4% 12.4% 10.7% 8.4% 4.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ben Lamont 5.7% 5.3% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 10.6% 12.4% 13.5% 12.8% 8.8% 4.1% 1.6%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 5.1% 8.0% 12.7% 22.1% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.