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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+8.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+4.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+3.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+5.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.34-3.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.60-0.90vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.06-1.46vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.68vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.49-4.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-6.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Roger Williams University1.844.8%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.379.6%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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7.74Boston College1.957.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.0%1st Place
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12.21Boston University1.072.3%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.3412.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University1.604.0%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College1.002.8%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont1.063.5%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College1.183.5%1st Place
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9.79Northwestern University1.494.0%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.263.7%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 22.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Chase Decker | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Shea Smith | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Henry Lee | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.