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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.08+8.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93+4.31vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+3.75vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+2.50vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.69+1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.99+6.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.65-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.27+2.75vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.50-2.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.07-2.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.83-7.58vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.48-7.03vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-5.81vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.04-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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7.31Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.02Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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13.75University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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10.6Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Scott Mais | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 35.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 24.2% |
| Matthew Priebe | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Anker | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.