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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+7.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.66vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.50+4.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+2.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+5.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+1.85vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.69-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-0.88vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-2.88vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.48-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.99+0.29vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.27-1.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.08-5.38vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.04-6.11vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.07-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.04Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.92Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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13.67University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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10.89Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Scott Mais | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Anker | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 32.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 23.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.