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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+7.70vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.50+7.01vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.93+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50+2.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+4.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49+0.74vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.07+1.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.69-1.70vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.12vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.18vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.65-6.02vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.48-6.16vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.04-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-3.19vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.99-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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10.86Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Priebe | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Max Anker | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.