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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.21vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.69+6.27vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+6.10vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+4.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.48+3.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+5.03vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+0.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.93-2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.99+4.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.21vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.50-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-0.59vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.04-4.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.08-5.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.07-6.26vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.27Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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6.56SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.93Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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14.7University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.72George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.41University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.73Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Max Anker | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Pinto | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Scott Mais | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 37.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 21.2% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| John McKenna | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.