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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+6.43vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+6.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+5.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+5.99vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.67+9.81vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.77+1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.09vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.19+1.44vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-0.20vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.90+0.89vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.80-3.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.48vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-4.18vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-4.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.41vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-3.09vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.47-4.51vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.09-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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14.81University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.44SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.91University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 41.2% |
| Justin Lim | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| John Walton | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Taft Buckley | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.