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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.82vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.67+13.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+7.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.19+5.38vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.50+3.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+6.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33+0.84vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.74-1.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-0.74vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.54-3.64vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.80-6.17vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-3.70vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-6.09vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.77-8.90vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.09-7.00vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.47-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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15.32University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.21Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.38SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.12Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.82University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.09George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 16.1% | 43.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| John Walton | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Justin Lim | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.