Race 12B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 17.6% 15.6% 13.5% 15.1% 11.7% 10.4% 7.1% 4.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Richard Meisenbach 2.0% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 8.6% 10.0% 14.8% 17.8% 17.5% 9.8%
Eric Decesar 11.4% 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 11.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Daniel Perkins 17.7% 20.9% 15.5% 14.0% 9.1% 8.9% 7.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Butcka 0.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 7.7% 11.5% 16.4% 23.4% 19.9%
William Howard 13.8% 11.8% 13.6% 13.0% 11.8% 11.5% 10.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 7.3% 5.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 13.0% 12.3% 9.0% 5.3% 1.3%
Colin Henderson 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 5.0% 7.1% 10.5% 16.5% 23.1% 23.8%
Ben Lamont 4.9% 6.1% 9.1% 9.0% 10.8% 9.1% 13.0% 12.0% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Hanna Vincent 14.7% 17.0% 13.5% 12.3% 14.7% 9.8% 8.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
John Fonte 1.6% 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 6.9% 13.5% 20.8% 42.1%
Sarah Fiske 6.9% 4.3% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 12.3% 10.3% 13.7% 13.7% 10.3% 4.4% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.