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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+6.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+4.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.70vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.18+5.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+0.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+1.80vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.34-2.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-1.19vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.49-1.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07+0.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.00-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.11vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.65vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.06-5.50vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.26-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Yale University2.5513.6%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University1.845.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College1.957.2%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.6%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College1.183.9%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.3710.3%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.605.2%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.3411.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.9%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.106.0%1st Place
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9.86Northwestern University1.494.1%1st Place
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12.41Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island1.424.4%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.2%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.064.6%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.263.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Chase Decker | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Shea Smith | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 22.7% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% |
| Henry Lee | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.