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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+8.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.35vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+5.60vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.77+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.09+4.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.76vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.74+0.28vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.80-0.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05+1.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.50vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.54-2.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-1.52vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.09-4.30vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-6.03vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.19-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.67-1.77vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.6Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.28George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.63Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.72SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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12.76University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taft Buckley | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Justin Lim | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| John Walton | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 47.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.