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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+8.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+8.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+6.72vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+6.26vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.09+4.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+3.57vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.19+1.92vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.77-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37+3.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-3.54vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.85vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.80-7.73vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.50-7.30vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.54-8.42vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.76-10.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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7.39Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.57University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.52Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| John Eastman | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Justin Lim | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 29.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.