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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+9.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.64vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+4.66vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+5.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27+3.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+3.56vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37+5.24vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.19+0.98vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.09-0.43vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.50-2.99vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.54-4.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.27vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.80-7.71vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.09-5.57vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-7.46vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.90-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.66Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.24University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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9.98SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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10.81Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| John Walton | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 27.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.