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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.50+7.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+7.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+6.29vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.77+2.28vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.80+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.47+5.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+0.29vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.19+0.06vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.74-3.46vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.15vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-2.73vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.54-6.02vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-5.82vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.09-6.57vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.90-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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10.06SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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13.28University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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10.81Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Justin Lim | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| John Walton | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 25.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.