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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.64vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+6.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+6.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+5.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+2.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90+3.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.74-1.07vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.77-2.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.33-1.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-1.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.47-1.08vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.80-7.47vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.09-1.52vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.09-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.67-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.93George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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13.48SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Justin Lim | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vail | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 39.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.