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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+7.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+5.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+7.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+4.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.39vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.54+1.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.10vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.50-0.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.74-2.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.09+3.66vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-0.48vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.09-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-1.80vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.47-2.86vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.80-9.17vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.67-2.10vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.05-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.85Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.91George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.66SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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14.9University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Justin Lim | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Vail | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 39.3% |
| John Eastman | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.