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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+6.49vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+9.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+4.88vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74+2.28vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.77+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.09+3.07vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54+0.05vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.80-2.01vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.88+1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-0.61vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.19-1.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.47-1.68vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-4.84vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-6.78vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.37-3.81vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.27-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.28George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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11.3Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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10.16Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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13.19University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| John Walton | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Justin Lim | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| William Keenan | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 23.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.