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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+7.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+8.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+4.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.74vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.90+4.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+3.24vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.77-0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27+0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.53vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.19-1.23vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-2.59vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.80-6.06vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-5.15vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.88-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.47-3.23vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-6.73vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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7.46George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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10.95Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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10.27Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.91University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| Justin Lim | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| John Walton | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Taft Buckley | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| William Keenan | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 19.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.