Race 13B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 18.8% 16.5% 16.5% 15.0% 9.9% 10.5% 5.5% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 15.9% 19.2% 14.4% 12.5% 12.2% 9.3% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 14.0% 11.8% 13.3% 11.2% 13.0% 12.1% 12.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Hanna Vincent 14.9% 16.7% 13.6% 14.8% 11.4% 9.9% 8.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Butcka 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 7.1% 8.9% 9.0% 17.3% 22.2% 20.4%
Eric Decesar 11.8% 10.9% 10.1% 11.1% 13.7% 12.4% 10.7% 9.1% 6.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Ben Lamont 6.6% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 9.6% 12.1% 13.7% 10.7% 8.8% 4.9% 0.7%
Martin McDonald 6.8% 6.0% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 10.2% 11.3% 12.9% 13.5% 9.2% 4.1% 1.9%
Sarah Fiske 5.4% 4.6% 7.5% 9.5% 9.5% 12.0% 10.6% 13.2% 13.7% 8.5% 4.6% 0.9%
John Fonte 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.5% 4.5% 9.3% 12.9% 22.2% 38.3%
Richard Meisenbach 2.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 7.5% 10.2% 15.8% 18.4% 16.6% 11.7%
Colin Henderson 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 6.5% 11.7% 17.4% 23.1% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.