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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+3.84vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+6.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+2.34vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+3.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+1.90vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-0.47vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49+0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.06+0.43vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.18-0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-3.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.26-2.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.66vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.00-4.87vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Yale University2.5513.9%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.3411.8%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University1.844.7%1st Place
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6.34Brown University2.379.7%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.106.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.2%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.605.3%1st Place
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7.53Boston College1.957.3%1st Place
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9.88Northwestern University1.493.6%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont1.064.0%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College1.184.5%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.263.5%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.4%1st Place
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12.34Boston University1.072.0%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.002.8%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island1.424.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Shea Smith | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| William Kulas | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 23.8% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Henry Lee | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.