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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.04vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.74+5.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+4.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+6.05vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.88+5.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.09+4.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.19+2.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+2.24vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.80-2.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.05+0.54vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.54-2.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-4.36vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-3.96vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-5.25vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.47-2.42vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-2.79vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.90-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.27-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.85Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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13.21University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Justin Lim | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| William Keenan | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| John Walton | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 17.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 23.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.