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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+6.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+4.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.80+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.09+5.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.89vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.09+3.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+2.37vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33+0.15vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.88+1.38vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.74-3.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-2.33vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.84vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.05-3.91vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.77-7.78vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-7.39vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.90-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.89SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.38Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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10.16Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.28University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.86Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% |
| John Walton | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| William Keenan | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| John Eastman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Justin Lim | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 26.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.