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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+6.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.12vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27+5.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.77+2.32vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.54+1.28vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+2.25vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.80-1.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-0.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-0.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.15vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-2.13vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.88-3.20vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-6.59vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.09-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.84SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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9.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.87Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.8Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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13.27University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Justin Lim | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Taft Buckley | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| William Keenan | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| John Walton | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 24.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.