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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+7.45vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+8.67vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+4.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.27vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+4.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.81vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.77+0.35vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33+1.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.49vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.09-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-4.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-4.02vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.80-8.69vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.88-5.71vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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9.81SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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7.35Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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10.44Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.98Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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11.29Tulane University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Justin Lim | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| John Walton | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| William Keenan | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.