Race 1A

np6-uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 18.5% 15.6% 15.6% 13.8% 11.0% 9.7% 8.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 20.8% 18.9% 15.7% 14.7% 11.1% 8.0% 7.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 11.6% 12.3% 12.1% 10.4% 14.9% 14.1% 12.9% 7.9% 3.4% 0.4%
William Smith 10.2% 13.0% 14.1% 11.8% 12.2% 15.8% 10.0% 9.8% 2.7% 0.4%
Megan Ploch 12.8% 11.7% 13.6% 14.2% 13.7% 12.3% 9.7% 8.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Ian Street 12.8% 11.7% 11.2% 13.1% 11.8% 12.7% 10.3% 12.0% 4.1% 0.3%
Harrison Reisinger 3.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 11.3% 15.7% 23.3% 13.1% 2.9%
Thompson Betts 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 12.4% 11.7% 15.9% 16.8% 6.9% 1.2%
Chris Straub 1.6% 0.9% 1.1% 3.0% 2.2% 2.5% 6.0% 9.1% 38.9% 34.7%
Thea Genet 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 3.8% 4.8% 25.0% 59.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.